Early Prediction

The following are my predictions for Ron Paul in the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada primaries. I'm going to retain the right to change these after the Boston Tea Party since the money raised from that day for the Paul campaign could be a major event that pushes Paul even higher.

But at the moment I see Paul generating 4% in Iowa, 22% in New Hampshire and 14% in Nevada. Iowa just seems too ideologically moderate and the demographic too old to go for a Paul candidacy. But good percentages in New Hampshire and Nevada seem doable for populations that have strong Libertarian streaks in them.